David Cameron says he will be campaigning in Fife for the Glenrothes by-election, and has challenged the prime minister to join him."I hope that Gordon Brown will rise to the challenge of campaigning in his own backyard, so that the voters can see for themselves the choices on offer," the Tory leader said. "It is time for him to stop running scared and to stand up and be counted. I will be in Glenrothes. Will he?" Mr Brown has relied on the convention that prime ministers do not campaign during by-elections to avoid overtly associating himself with the damaging results of Crewe and Nantwich and Glasgow East. That convention was shaken by Tony Blair's decision to repeatedly break it during his premiership, however. Not only that, but as the MP of a neighbouring constituency, Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath, Mr Brown is taking on the workload of deceased Labour MP John MacDougall until the vote. Mr Cameron's challenge came as the party announced its candidate for the seat, Maurice Golden, 28, a former student leader. Mr Cameron said: "I will be campaigning and supporting Maurice on the streets of Glenrothes. He is a first-class candidate, bursting with energy and enthusiasm." The Glenrothes by-election will be two horse race between Labour and the Scottish National party (SNP). Labour have 10,664 majority, but party insiders admit they consider themselves underdogs.
Sunday, August 31, 2008
'Come and fight me', Cameron tells Brown
David Cameron says he will be campaigning in Fife for the Glenrothes by-election, and has challenged the prime minister to join him."I hope that Gordon Brown will rise to the challenge of campaigning in his own backyard, so that the voters can see for themselves the choices on offer," the Tory leader said. "It is time for him to stop running scared and to stand up and be counted. I will be in Glenrothes. Will he?" Mr Brown has relied on the convention that prime ministers do not campaign during by-elections to avoid overtly associating himself with the damaging results of Crewe and Nantwich and Glasgow East. That convention was shaken by Tony Blair's decision to repeatedly break it during his premiership, however. Not only that, but as the MP of a neighbouring constituency, Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath, Mr Brown is taking on the workload of deceased Labour MP John MacDougall until the vote. Mr Cameron's challenge came as the party announced its candidate for the seat, Maurice Golden, 28, a former student leader. Mr Cameron said: "I will be campaigning and supporting Maurice on the streets of Glenrothes. He is a first-class candidate, bursting with energy and enthusiasm." The Glenrothes by-election will be two horse race between Labour and the Scottish National party (SNP). Labour have 10,664 majority, but party insiders admit they consider themselves underdogs.
UK elections 'using 19th Century structures'
The UK electoral system continues to operate under 19th century structures and requires urgent reform before the next general election, the Electoral Commission has warned."The planning and running of elections need to be more robust and coordinated," said Sam Younger, chairman of the Electoral Commission. "We are still trying to run 21st century elections with 19th century structures, and the system is under severe strain." The Commission wants a simplification of electoral law and action to address the shortfall for electoral administration, and for any reforms to be finalised six months before a future election. It says Electoral Management Boards should be set up to provide coordination, leadership and support for elections and the chair of the Boards should be given the statutory power to give directions to returning officers to ensure best practise is followed. The role of retuning officers - a senior officer who oversees the election and announces the results – is also brought into the spotlight. The Commission wants their operational role to be kept strictly distinct from the formation of election policy by government, and the performance oversight role of the Electoral Commission. "Ensuring that returning officers remain independent, and are reinforced with the leadership, support and direction of the chair of an Election Management Board, would build on the strengths of the current system," Mr Younger said. "Our proposal is designed to allow local returning officers to continue to respond to local circumstances while ensuring that there is a consistently high standard of service for all electors across the UK." The report provoked mixed reactions from democracy activists with Peter Facey, director of Unlock Democracy saying it was a "curate's egg". "It is not clear about what specific problems a network of Electoral Management Boards across the country is supposed to solve and we are concerned that the system could prove unwieldy and bureaucratic," he said. "Ultimately, changing the way we administer elections will have very little effect if it is not underpinned by enhanced regulation. Vote rigging is at an all time high, yet the government is continuing to focus on gimmicks such as voting by mobile phone and prize draws to increase turnout." The next general election is expected in 2010. Gordon Brown can call it at any time, but with the government doing so badly in the polls, party strategists are likely to put it off as long as possible.
Economic climate worst in 60 years, says Darling
The present economic climate is "arguably the worst" in the last 60 years, according to the chancellor Alistair Darling.In an interview with the Guardian newspaper, the man charged with running the country's economy said that the economic troubles were likely to worsen in the coming future. Mr Darling told the newspaper the international economic environment faced serious challenges and was likely to be "more profound and long-lasting than people thought". He also admitted that the Labour party had made mistakes in outlining its policies which had led to discontent among voters, adding that the next 12 months would be a stern test for the party. Mr Darling said: "We've got our work cut out. This coming 12 months will be the most difficult 12 months the Labour party has had in a generation. "We've got to rediscover that zeal which won three elections, and that is a huge problem for us at the moment. People are p****d off with us. "We really have to make our minds up; are we ready to try and persuade this country to support us for another term? Because the next 12 months are critical. It's still there to play for," he told the newspaper. In the interview, Mr Darling also spoke about infighting within the party ranks as he revealed that some of his colleagues had tried to unseat him from his position. "There's lots of people who'd like to do my job. And no doubt, [some] actively trying to do it," he said.
Saturday, August 30, 2008
More poll misery for Labour
There's no sign of a let-up in Labour's miserable poll rating, with this month's YouGov poll for the Daily Telegraph showing no improvement in the party's performance.On every subject, both the prime minister and the party as a whole receive terrible ratings. Only eight per cent of voters approve of the government's record and just seven per cent are satisfied with Mr Brown's performance as prime minister. The figures are slightly better for Labour, with 32 per cent saying they want to see a Labour government after the next general election, although that percentage roughly equates to the level of dyed-in-wool Labour support in the country at large. The Tories have retained their 19 per cent lead since July, the first time since the 1980's the party has kept a double digit lead over Labour for six consecutive months. The Liberal Democrats are showing no sign of an improvement in their performance. Support for the party is down from 23 per cent at the last election to 16 per cent, with the proportion of Liberal Democrats who would rather see a Tory than a Labour administration shooting upwards. Forty-one per cent of Liberals now say they would rather Labour were in power than the Tories, while 38 per cent favour the Conservatives. For so long the ginger stepchild of parliament, the Liberals performed considerably better during Charles Kennedy's years as leader. Neither Ming Campbell, his successor, nor Nick Clegg, the current leader, have managed to improve upon his performance. The party tends to do better when both of the main parties are unattractive, and their best performance came when Tony Blair pushed towards an unpopular war in Iraq with full Conservative support. Mr Brown is expected to launch a 'mini-budget' in the next fortnight, setting out what he intends to do for poor families hit by rising food and energy prices. Reports circulating today indicate minister may help local councils buy repossessed properties, allowing their current owners to remain in them on a part-buy, part rent basis.
Glenrothes by-election may be delayed until November
The Glenrothes by-election may be delayed until November, according to rumours from the Labour party.A final decision has yet to be taken, but senior party members are understood to prefer an October or November date for the vote, which will take place in Gordon Brown's neighbouring constituency. The two dates which keep coming up are Thursday October 30th or Thursday November 6th. The latter date is the favourite, coming a couple of days after the American presidential election. A loss would therefore be buried in the newspapers by events taking place across the Atlantic. The Labour candidate will be chosen on Monday, with Kirkcaldy headteacher Lindsay Roy the early front-runner. Other possibilities include Cardended councillor Mark Hood and Glenrothes councillor Kay Morrison. In a separate development, Downing Street has been forced to deny reports the prime minister is planning to take a hands-on role in the campaign. Mr Brown's decision to go to his constituency was met by frenzied speculation that he was trying to control Labour's attempts to keep the seat. But a Downing Street press spokesperson said: "The PM does not have a great deal of time in his constituency, and this week is such a chance." He called the idea of Mr Brown masterminding the campaign "fanciful". Labour has a 10,600 majority in the constituency, but such is the lack of faith in the party's ability to win a by-election now that the Scottish National party (SNP) is favourite to win the seat.
Neither Labour nor Tories trusted with economy, politics.co.uk poll shows
Neither Labour nor the Tories can be trusted withy the economy according to politics.co.uk users.In a new poll released this morning, both Labour and the Conservative do as badly as each other on trustworthiness with the economy, with both parties receiving exactly the same results. Only 21 per cent of users said they trusted either party with the economy. The Liberal Democrats actually performed very slightly better, with 29 per cent of users saying they would trust them. Respondents were more generous when assessing how responsible Labour was for the current state of the economy. Only 14 per cent of people think Labour is totally responsible for the economy. Sixty-four per cent of people think Labour is somewhat responsible, and 21 per cent think it is not at all responsible. General political assumptions about the prevalence of economic concerns on general elections are also brought into focus with some surprising results when users were asked how important economic concerns are to them. Thirty-six per cent said economic issues are very important to them. A majority of users – 43 per cent – said the economy was quite important to them. Seven per cent said they were of average importance, and 14 per cent said they were quite unimportant. The government is planning on launching a political fightback this September based almost exclusively on economic issues. Labour insiders think helping families out financially while fuel and food prices continue to sky-rocket is the key to improving their electoral performance. Some analysts say Gordon Brown signed his political suicide note by the years of credit he took for the robust state of the economy, meaning he could not hide from responsibility when things went wrong.
Friday, August 29, 2008
Hints of Tory division on Russia
The first hints of Conservative divisions over David Cameron's bullish response to the Russia-Georgia conflict have begun to emerge.Party insiders are pointing to the abject silence of shadow foreign secretary William Hague – a normally outspoken politician – when it comes to events in the South Caucasus. But the most open expression of discomfort with the Conservative position comes from former Cabinet minister and leadership contender John Redwood. Writing on his blog, Mr Redwood strikes a far more measured tone than his party leader, and expresses discontent with the direction of the western policy making. "We need to talk to Russia, and to discuss the issue of splinter regions from Georgia," Mr Redwood writes. "We need to discuss the whole architecture of states around Russia's western and southern border, to avoid committing Nato to maintain borders we cannot in practise enforce at an acceptable military cost, and to allay Russian fears to make Russian military action less likely. "We need to see how big the disagreements are and to assess if any other state apart from Georgia is in danger of a Russian invasion. So far the west has not won over enough independent world opinion to strengthen its hand in negotiation with Russia." Talking specifically about the UK, Mr Redwood adds: "We need some strategy rather than more foreign policy spin." Yesterday, Mr Cameron launched a further attack on Russia, following the decision of prime minister Dmitry Medvedev to recognise the breakaway Georgian provinces of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. "We've got to confront this aggression," Mr Cameron said. "It goes completely against a set of United Nations resolutions that they themselves voted for."
Labour minister: The market has limits
Labour needs to stop being so deferential to the market and understand the limits of competition, the Labour skills minister has said.In a wide ranging article in this months edition of Progress, a Blairite magazine, David Lammy also admits David Cameron has "touched a nerve" with the British people. Commenting on what Labour must do to retain power, Mr Lammy makes a clear appeal for a left-ward drift. "The next agenda must be forged through starting with the pressures and the struggles that people face in their own lives," he writes. "At its most basic, this means a clearer story about two things: the limits of the market and the new frontiers of the welfare state. Old Labour was hostile to the market; New Labour has arguably been too deferential to it." Labour needs to "refresh our core story" so that Tory weaknesses can be exposed. "The truth is that the Tories' change in language has touched a nerve, reflecting a big gap in our own political narrative," he continued. "Yet beneath Cameron's rhetoric lies the basic philosophy that failed Britain in the past. "The Tories demand responsibility without offering support; they appeal for fraternity without any real belief in equality; they have finally noticed 'society,' but remain implacably hostile to the state." Mr Lammy has been quietly developing a cogent analysis of Labour's woes during his time as skills minister. Touted by some as a potential British Obama, his speeches and meetings before the summer concentrated on better communicating Labour's core values. He courted controversy during the 2005 general election by describing Respect MP George Galloway as a "carpetbagger".
SNP receives fewer donations than Ukip
Scotland's governing Scottish National party (SNP) receives substantially less donations than the UK Independence party, according to new figures released by the Electoral Commission.The SNP received just ВЈ13,627, substantially less than the ВЈ72,778 seen by the UK Independence party. Welsh nationalists Plaid Cymru received no donations at all. David Cameron's Conservative party topped the donations list between April and June, receiving ВЈ5.6 million. Labour received ВЈ3.8 million and the Liberal Democrats received ВЈ0.9 million. The Commission also found Britain's political parties have improved their performance in reporting donations. It said today ВЈ62,442 from three parties was reported late in the second quarter of 2008, out of total donations of over ВЈ10 million. This, EC chief executive Peter Wardle said, suggests parties are responding to its requests that parties "address the issue of late reporting of individual donations. "We are pleased that the political parties and election bill includes the more flexible and proportionate range of penalties that the Commission has been calling for," Mr Wardle added. "We look forward to seeing these debated and agreed in parliament so that the Commission can strengthen its role as a robust regulator."
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
SNP blasts Brown's football ambition
Gordon Brown has scored a "spectacular own goal" by suggesting Great Britain enter a football team for the 2012 Olympics, Alex Salmond has said.The Scottish first minister and Scottish National party (SNP) leader was responded to Mr Brown's call for a single united football team restated as the 2008 Beijing Games drew to a close yesterday. Mr Brown has said he would like to see Manchester United manager Sir Alex Ferguson formally approached to coach the side. "We'll talk to the other football associations and we'll see who wants to be part of this and maybe we'll get a manager that everybody is happy with," the prime minister said yesterday. "I know Sir Alex Ferguson has been approached by Seb Coe. These are things that are possible." Mr Salmond is unimpressed by the proposal, pointing out that Irish Football Association president Raymond Kennedy has been clearly against the proposal. He said the prime minister's comments showed he is "out of touch with the overwhelming views of football supporters throughout the UK". "Instead of trying to brow beat the SFA, the IFA and the Football Association of Wales into a single team Gordon Brown should abandon his campaign which threatens the identity of each of the home associations and their national squads," he said. Great Britain have not had a football team compete at the Olympics since 1960, but the 2012 organising committee are thought to be eager to have a home football team compete in London 2012. The International Olympic Association (IOC) have yet to give the go-ahead for a Great Britain football team, but Mr Brown said Lord Sebastian Coe had already held informal talks with Ferguson in regards to managing Team GB. "I've been talking to Fifa, The Football Association and Sepp Blatter and he's going to try and make it possible for us to have a team at the Olympics," the prime minister added.
Tavish Scott becomes Scottish Lib Dem leader
Tavish Scott has won his campaign to become the leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats."Tavish will address the issues that matter most to the people of Scotland, not the narrow-minded squabbles of the nationalists and Labour," said party leader Nick Clegg. "I am hugely looking forward to working with Tavish to further the values and policies of the Liberal Democrats across the whole of Scotland." Party members selected him from three candidates, with more than 4,000 people voting by post following hustings across the country. Mr Scott secured 1,450 votes, a 59 per cent share of the turnout. Ross Finnie recieved 568 votes, and Mike Rumbles won 439 votes. It was a solid showing, with Mr Scott winning a larger share of the vote than most analysts expected. The Scottish National party (SNP) wasted no time attacking the new leader. "The Lib Dems have voted for more of the same in an invisible election for an invisible man," said Christine Grahame. "Tavish Scott is responsible for their dire election results and their catastrophic decision to reject a coalition." Nicol Stephen stepped down from the job earlier this year to spend more time with his family. A former minister for transport, Mr Scott also used to be deputy leader of the Liberal Democrats. He is currently Scottish Liberal Democrat shadow cabinet secretary for finance and sustainable growth.
Boris brands Cameron's politics 'piffle'
Conservative talk of Britain's 'broken society' is piffle according the Tory mayor of London, Boris Johnson.Writing his column in the Telegraph newspaper, Mr Johnson said Britain's Olympic success proved things were not as bad in the country as many people believed. "If you believe the British press, the youth of today is aimless, feckless and hopeless, addicted to their PlayStations, lacking in respect and lacking in the emotional discipline needed to cope with a big match occasion," he wrote. "If you believe the politicians, we have a broken society, in which the courage and morals of young people have been sapped by welfarism and political correctness. "And if you look at what is happening at the Beijing Olympics, you can see what piffle that is." Mr Johnson has now attempted to clarify his comments. A statement issued earlier today said Mr Cameron was right to draw attention to family breakdown. "Boris Johnson is immensely proud of what young British athletes have achieved in Beijing," a spokesperson said. "Their success is a tribute to their sense of ambition, determination and self discipline. "These are the qualities he is keen to encourage in teenagers across London, where a lack of purpose, discipline and self-esteem lead many to wasted lives and violence. "David Cameron is right to highlight that serious and destructive social breakdown," he continued. "Politicians who pretend there is not a problem are complacent, and should recognise that there is a huge challenge if every teenager is to fulfil their potential as our athletes have managed this week." It is not the first time Mr Johnson has treaded well off his political path in the course of fulfilling his duties as a journalist. A piece on Liverpool's 'victimhood culture' during Michael Howard's tenure as leader resulted in Mr Johnson being forced to travel to the city to issue an apology. The comments may mark a return to the more traditional Boris – witty, independent of thought and liable to making political gaffes – rather than the composed on-message personality presented to voters during the London mayoral elections.
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Feature: Who is Tavish Scott?
Always the favourite, Tavish Scott won his campaign to become the leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats with an announcement at 15:00 BST on Wednesday.It's the latest stage of a career which began as a fierce campaigner for Shetland, an area Scott thanks for making him what he is. "I was brought up here in Shetland," he said during the campaign. "I am what Shetland made me. And I've had the good fortune to represent this community in the Scottish Parliament for nearly ten years. "This is where I've learned at first hand what community means. This is a strong community where people know each other, trust each other, and help each other." Scott's passion for where he came from seems to go pretty deep. He lists Up Helly Aa as one of his interests, all the way up there with golf. Up Helly Aa, in case you didn’t know, is a Shetland fire festival held in the middle of winter to mark the end of yule season. It's sometimes called 'Transvestite Tuesday', due to the number of men dressed as women, but best not to draw too many conclusions about that. He became the Shetland's first MSP in May 1999 after five years of acting as a councillor there. It's a historical note complimented by the fact he was the first parliamentarian for the Shetland Islands as a distinct entity. Up to then, it was melded together with Orkney. Powering through his career at an average pace of one job per annum, Scott was transport, environment and Europe spokesman from 1999 to 2000, Lib Dem parliamentary business manager from 2000 to 2001, simultaneously enterprise spokesman and Highlands and Islands spokesman from 2001 to 2003, and deputy minister for finance and public services from 2003 to 2005. He served as deputy minister of parliament in the Scottish executive from 2000 to 2001 but resigned after refusing to support the Executive in a vote on a tie-scheme for fishing. The highest post he held to date has been that of minister for transport, between June 2005 and May 2007. A steady rise up the party ranks combined with his outspoken support for the Shetlands to give him an increased majority in 2007. At 50.1 per cent, he holds the largest margin of any MSP over their closest challenger. However impressive his career may appear, however, Scott has a lot of work ahead of him. The Liberal Democrats are in real danger of falling into fourth place north of the border, as their unimpressive performance in Glasgow East proved. The Scottish National party (SNP) are not just squeezing Labour – all centre-left parties are feeling the pain of a resurgent nationalist movement. With Tory support unimproved but still stable, the Liberal Democrats are starting to fall behind. "Under my leadership the Liberal Democrats will be the party that tackles the issues, provides the solutions and is not afraid to tell the truth," he said during the campaign. "We must connect our core values of freedom, fairness and community to the problems that are facing Scotland today." Whether that will be enough to wrestle the debate away from the SNP and Labour is another matter. Ian Dunt
Boris denied flight upgrade
Boris Johnson was denied an upgrade from his economy class seat on the flight to China, it has been revealed.City Hall officials requested an upgrade to business class from his seat in economy plus, but British Airways officials turned them down. "I travelled very, very comfortably in world traveller," Mr Johnson said later. "We were attended by every possible comfort and I have no regrets. "I neither sought nor, am I sad to say, was I offered an upgrade. In fact I was explicitly refused one." "We are not able to discuss the travel details of individual passengers," a BA spokesman said when politics.co.uk contacted him about the incident. Mr Johnson was flying out to attend the Beijing Olympic Games, where he said London was not "intimidated" by China's impressive display.
Tories plan marriage tax breaks
The next Conservative government's taxation policy will include breaks for married couples, shadow chancellor George Osborne has pledged.In an interview with the Daily Telegraph, the senior Tory official said marriage helped build a strong society as he vowed to bring back a policy scrapped by Labour in the past. He told the paper: "Marriage will be recognised in the tax system. If I am David's chancellor - which I fully expect to be - then I will implement that. There is no disagreement there at all. "Of course everyone is entitled to choose how to live their lives, and some marriages do fail, but we know that in general marriage is an institution that contributes to building a stronger society. "That is why Labour was wrong to stop supporting it through the tax system and that is why we will recognise it," he added. The Telegraph cites senior officials in the party as saying the initiative would be an "early priority" for the party, if it wins the next general election. In the interview, Mr Osborne stated that his party was not overly concerned about Labour's strategy and accused his rivals of being "totally obsessed" with predicting the Conservative party's moves. He said: "If you're running a race and you're ahead, you don't have to keep looking over your shoulder. Just focus on what you're doing, setting the pace you want to set. We are not constantly terrified by the shadow of Gordon Brown and Labour. "Interestingly, I think they are totally obsessed with us and spend their whole lives working out in minute detail what Cameron's going to say. In fact, he should just get on with being the PM and lead his country and stop obsessing about his opponents," he told the paper.
Sunday, August 24, 2008
Tories offer energy discount cards
The Conservatives have launched their proposals to help low income families with their gas and electricity bills, with cards offering discounts on customers' bills.The plans come after both Scottish & Southern Energy and E.On announced energy price hikes yesterday – following those made by British Gas and EDF. Consumer watchdog energywatch estimates the price hikes will put some five million homes into fuel poverty – where ten per cent of income is spent on gas and electricity bills. Annual average fuel bills are heading to £1,300, as energy providers pass on wholesale hikes to customers. Under Conservative plans some four million people would be eligible for £100 discounts.. The plan is part of Post Office Card Account (POCA) reform so families without bank accounts will be able to use their POCA to pay utility bills using the equivalent of a direct debit. Alan Duncan, shadow business minister, described the measure as "a significant weapon for attacking the growing pain of fuel poverty". Responding to yesterday's price hikes, Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg said: "Millions of people will get a huge shock when they realise how much it will cost to heat their homes this winter. For the most vulnerable people the effect will be devastating. "One by one, the major energy companies are lining up to clobber customers with enormous price rises." He went on to accuse the government of allowing the energy giants to act as they please. "It is unacceptable that on this government’s watch these companies have benefited from a £9 billion windfall, yet they continue to turn the screws on people who are already struggling with high prices. "Energy companies should be compelled to put some of this money back into insulating the homes of their poorest customers."
Home Office branded 'an utter disgrace' after data loss
The Home Office has been branded "an utter disgrace" after details of every prisoner in England and Wales were lost. A USB stick with data on all 84,000 prisoners was lost by PA Consulting, a private company which has a contract with the Home Office.Privacy campaigners, opposition parties and the Information Commissioner's Office have rounded on the government. "The question is not why was this data lost - it was lost because they had it - but why anyone got hold of individually identifiable mass data from the supposedly secure Police National Computer at all," said Phil Booth, NO2ID's national coordinator. "No more excuses, no more buck-passing. When is this going to stop?" Shadow home secretary Dominic Grieve said: "One of the possible consequences is that they [criminals] will bring legal actions against the government and the taxpayer will then have to pay damages to people, who appear to be pretty undeserving, because of the government's incompetence." Concerns were raised by the fact the company which lost the disk is the same firm charged with executing the government's ID cards scheme. "The public will be alarmed that the government is happy to entrust their ВЈ20 billion ID card project to the firm involved in this fiasco, at a cost of millions of pounds to the UK taxpayer," Mr Grieves added. David Smith, deputy commissioner in the Information Commissioner's Office, said the loss showed the "toxic liability" of information loss. "It is deeply worrying that after a number of major data losses and the publication of two government reports on high profile breaches of the Data Protection Act, more personal information has been reported lost," he said. The office is expecting to receive a copy of the report into the incident. "We will then decide what further action may be appropriate. Searching questions must be answered about what safeguards were in place to protect this information," he continued. PA Consulting is desperately searching for the memory stick, with workers checking its premises and checking CCTV footage for clues. Details of serving prisoners include their names, address, date of birth and dates of release, but there are unverified reports that informants' details may have been contained on the sticks, opening up a whole new world of security concerns. The full timeline of the loss is still unclear, but it is understood the Home Office was notified on Monday by the PA Consulting about the loss, with a further confirmation on Tuesday. But there are still no explanation for how the stick was lost. The transfer of data between the Home Office and PA Consulting has been suspended while an investigation takes place. It is the latest in a strong of government blunders which have played into the hands of privacy campaigners who point at the incidents as proof the government is incapable of running its proposed ID cards scheme. As Mr Grieve said earlier today, the Home Office "has a habit of doing this". A Home Office spokesperson said: "We have been made aware of a security breach at the offices of an external contractor involving the loss of personal information about offenders in England and Wales. "A full investigation is being conducted."
Fair-minded Osborne seeks attack on Brown
Shadow chancellor George Osborne is planning an autumn campaign to ensure Gordon Brown's "obsession" with survival does not do "long-term damage" to Britain.Mr Osborne has launched a dossier outlining the ways in which the Conservatives believe the prime minister's policies have made Britain more unfair. The Tories argue rising numbers of people in deep poverty, a decade of "stealth taxes" and a lack of schools reform are among the factors contributing to the problem. "The truth is Gordon Brown's old-fashioned leftist idea that 'only the state can guarantee fairness' has led to a decade of top-down state control policies that have made our country less fair. Brown's Labour means an unfair Britain," he says in the foreword to the dossier. Mr Osborne will give a speech at the Demos thinktank tomorrow on notions of fairness in society. He says the speech will lay out how the Tories will use Conservative means to achieve "fair and progressive goals". "Our emphasis on opportunity and responsibility will succeed where their top-down state control has failed," Mr Osborne adds. Tory intellectual thinking is focusing on the rejection of state-based solutions. While accepting progressive goals, the Conservatives now believe their philosophies of implementation will prove more successful than Labour's. Labour is unconvinced. Later this week chief secretary to the Treasury Yvette Cooper will outline her party's argument that "Cameronomics" disguises the Tories' "risky and destructive ideological agenda". Mr Osborne hopes his party's attack on the government's record will prove more resonant with the electorate. He writes: "First it was 'change', then it was 'aspiration' and earlier this year it was all about government being 'on your side'. Now we're told, before it's even started, that the next Gordon Brown relaunch will about 'fairness'. "But this latest desperate relaunch will sink, just like the others have, because under Labour Britain has become more unfair."
Saturday, August 23, 2008
Nick Clegg: I'm mortgaged up to the gills
Liberal Democrat leader has said he is suffering the effects of the credit crunch just like everyone else, with his family now "mortgaged up to the gills".Mr Clegg's fixed rate mortgage for his house in Putney, south-west London, expired last year, forcing him to search for new deals. Speaking to the Independent, he said: "Without going into the gory details of our family finances, we are mortgaged up to the gills like a lot of other people. "I had a two-year, fixed-rate deal which ran out, and it has been very painful to move on to a different one – like millions of other people." Mr Clegg and his wife still holiday overseas, unlike Gordon Brown, but they have stopped staying in luxurious hotels. "We always have very frugal holiday tastes because we just go and stay with my in-laws in Spain," he continued. "I hardly drive a car any more... we heat the house less, [and] turn the heating down. "I'm much luckier than other people. My wife and I are not really struggling to put food on the family supper table. My wife works – she's a full-time lawyer – [and] I work, so we have two incomes. "We are very lucky, but we need every penny of those two incomes. If we do, I can't imagine what it is like for the many millions of British families who aren't as lucky as we are," he added. Mr Clegg launched the Liberal Democrats energy initiative earlier this week, calling for the UK to become energy independent by 2050 while simultaneously consolidating its use of renewables.
Labour leadership irrelevant, poll suggests
Labour MPs tempted to replace Gordon Brown with an alternative leader might be deterred by the results of a new poll out today.The latest Guardian/ICM poll maintains the 15-point Conservative advantage over Labour, with both parties up one point to 44 and 29 per cent respectively. It also gives Tory leader David Cameron a clear lead over Mr Brown in the popularity stakes. Forty-two per cent of those polled said they thought Mr Cameron would make the better prime minister, compared to 21 per cent for Mr Brown. Foreign secretary David Miliband, who surprised many with his barely-hidden leadership ambitions two weeks ago, would do worse: in a head-to-head between him and Mr Cameron he scored just 19 per cent, compared to the Tory leader's 40 per cent. Today's figures follow previous polls which have given similar discouragement to those hoping a change of Labour leadership might reinvigorate the party's prospects. But the ICM stats underline the differences between Mr Brown and his foreign secretary. Mr Miliband wins the future visionary and "more on my wavelength" stakes. The prime minister is viewed as being more competent and trustworthy. Ultimately, however, neither do well against Mr Cameron. Were the results of the voting intention poll to be translated into seats in the House of Commons they would give the Conservatives a majority of well over 100 seats. The parties face their next electoral test in the Glenrothes by-election, which must take place by mid-November at the latest.
Scot Labour: No 'backroom deals' with Tories
Scottish Labour leader candidate Cathy Jamieson has ruled out cooperation with the Tories on reforming council tax.The statement is a swipe at her rival, Iain Gray, who said he was prepared to work with the Conservatives to change the current system. "There is no way I am going to do backroom deals with the Tories," Ms Jamieson said. "I want to fix the system and replace it with a workable and equitable improvement." All three Labour candidates have ruled out the Scottish National party (SNP) solution of replacing it with a 3p local income tax, saying it would disqualify Scots from ВЈ400 million in council tax benefits a year.
Thursday, August 21, 2008
Women's rights MP quits parliament
Ann Cryer, the campaigning Labour MP who put women's rights, and especially the issue of forced marriages, at the heart of her career, has announced she will step down from parliament at the next election.Ms Cryer said she was quitting for a variety of reasons, "mainly concerning my age, health and decreasing energy levels". The 68-year-old announced her intentions at a meeting of her constituency. "For over 20 years Ann has been battling for Keighley - fighting its corner, articulating its needs, representing its best hopes," said Gordon Brown. "She knows every inch of her constituency and her understanding of its communities is second to none. "After encountering a number of forced marriages among her constituents, she mounted a brave campaign to highlight the sometimes appalling mistreatment of women forced to be brides." Ms Cryer became an MP when her husband – MP for Keighley and later Bradford South, died in a car accident in 1994. She was elected to parliament in 1997, and retained her seat in the 2001 and 2005 elections. "My campaigns on behalf of some of our most vulnerable people are coming to fruition, the Forced Marriage (Civil Protection) Act comes into effect in September," she said at the constituency meeting. "This Act, along with new immigration rules I have been calling for, will help many young women and to a lesser extent men to have a greater say in the conduct of their own lives. "I would like to thank the people of my constituency, who it has been an absolute privilege to represent for the last 11 years in parliament."
Labour win 'impossible'
It is now impossible for Labour to win the next general election, although the Tories might still lose it, according to a senior Conservative frontbencher.In an interview with the Financial Times, Eric Pickles, shadow communities secretary, said Labour had entered a similar period to the one the Tories had just gone through. "We've been there before [and] seen false dawns. The light at the end of the tunnel for the Tory party in the last 15 years has been an express train coming in the opposite direction," he said. Comparing Gordon Brown's leadership to a Shakespearian tragedy, Mr Pickles said Labour would not be able to drag themselves out of electoral meltdown through a leadership challenge. "I'm not saying they're entirely there but they are beginning to sink without a sign of the bottom," he continued. "They're spending so much time now trying to grab ideas, steal ideas and... none of it's going to make any difference."
Cooper starts Labour fight-back
Yvette Cooper, Treasury chief secretary and a Brownite loyalist, has launched the opening salvo of Labour's autumn fight-back with a stinging attack on David Cameron.In a speech set to be delivered later this week, Ms Cooper will describe how Mr Cameron distracts voters with photo opportunities while pursuing a traditionally Conservative tax-cutting agenda. It comes before a high-profile trip to the Beijing Olympics closing ceremony by Gordon Brown, before the conference season starts in September. "Cameronomics is emerging, in which photo ops, warm words and conflicting promises attempt to distract from a risky and destructive ideological agenda," Ms Cooper will say. "Cameron knows that his party are keen for some traditional Tory red meat, especially on tax cuts. Their policy positions also reveal ideological stances which would be bad for the British economy. "They remain hostile to government action at a time when the role of government is critical to stability and prosperity," she will add. "They are opposed on principle to government involvement in redistribution, even when those on lowest income are facing the greatest squeeze." The launch of an economic attack on the Tories – one which is expected to be coupled with moves to help the less well-off - is timed to coincide with the Conservatives' 'economy week', spearheaded by shadow chancellor George Osborne.
Wednesday, August 20, 2008
Cameron planning Thatcher-style radicalism
David Cameron says he will match the scale of Margaret Thatcher's economic changes with the radical nature of his social reforms in a new book out today.Cameron on Cameron: Conversations with Dylan Jones sees the Tory leader issue forth on everything from last year's election-that-never-was to "political joke" Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg. He says of the former Tory prime minister: "I'm going to be as radical a social reformer as Mrs Thatcher was an economic reformer… radical social reform is what this country needs right now. "Margaret Thatcher in her time realised that the big challenge was reviving Britain's economy, and we should recognise that the challenge for the modern Conservatives is reviving our society. "It's dealing with the issues of family breakdown, welfare dependency, failing schools, crime, and the problems that we see in too many of our communities." Mr Cameron says in the book he would have won the much-rumoured snap general election of autumn 2007, predicting a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party. And he says current prime minister Gordon Brown made the situation much worse for Labour by insisting the decision had nothing to do with opinion polls, which were starting their swing towards the Conservatives. "It was a lie and it was treating people like fools," he said. The Tory leader also reveals the driver of a white van attempted to push him in front of a car while he was riding on his bike late one night after returning from a dinner event. "I got rather nervous about it so I turned down a road I don't normally go down, and I slowed down and sort of pulled in behind a line of parked cars and as this van drove by this hand came out and just bashed me in the back with the aim of pushing me in front of the car," he said. "Luckily I managed to put the brakes on... But I've never been the victim of proper violent crime." Mr Cameron remembers predicting in the book that Tony Blair's leadership of the Labour party would be "disastrous" for the Tories and the BBC quotes him saying in the book he has received excellent advice from former leader William Hague. Mr Hague, now shadow foreign secretary, told Mr Cameron: "Being leader of the Conservative party and wearing a hat are incompatible."
Miliband denies Brown rift
David Miliband said his relations with No 10 remained positive as he praised the "major contribution" of prime minister Gordon Brown to his efforts in Georgia.The foreign secretary was responsible for a wave of media speculation about a potential leadership challenge last month after a Guardian article appeared to challenge Mr Brown's direction. He denied such claims but refused to back Mr Brown publicly. Since then Russia's actions in Georgia have prompted an international crisis to distract him from the domestic political scene. "There are no frosty relations at all within the government," the BBC quoted him as saying at a joint press conference with Georgian president Mikhail Sakkashvili in Tbilisi last night. "I'm working closely with the prime minister on this issue. Just yesterday we were talking about the next steps - he's been making a major contribution at head of government level." Mr Brown, who has been on holiday for the last three weeks but returns to work this week, issued a statement following the ceasefire announcement on August 12th calling for humanitarian aid. Mr Miliband's comments came in response to a question about whether a cold war existed within the Labour party. He added: "This is clearly an international crisis, which the whole of the important work of the Foreign Office is now focussed on, obviously, and the prime minister and I are working closely together on the issue."
Tories and Labour go toe-to-toe on poverty
Labour and the Conservatives are going toe-to-toe over the government record on poverty today, after shadow chancellor George Osborne claimed the Conservatives are better placed to address poverty.In a speech later today to the thinktank Demos, Mr Osborne will argue that the number of people in severe poverty has increased by 900,000 since Labour came to power. "Simply redistributing money, simply chucking money at people, simply relying on tax credits, has failed," Mr Osborne said. "There is absolutely no Conservative plan to in any way get rid of tax credits, indeed if anything we want to strengthen tax credits." But Labour has reacted quickly to Mr Osborne's attempt to invade their traditional political territory. Treasury minister Angela Eagle said she was "delighted" to take on the Tories over their record. "This is the same Tory party that opposed the minimum wage, opposed pension credit and the winter fuel allowance, opposed support for families through tax credits and still won't commit to any real pledge on child poverty," she said. "George Osborne's latest scattergun attack is just another example of the Conservatives trying to avoid tough questions about their own unfunded and unfair policies." The move will be interpreted as an attempt to pre-empt Labour's new critique of the Tories, in which David Cameron is presented as the acceptable public relations face of a party which is still obsessed with cutting taxes for the rich. Yvette Cooper, Treasury chief secretary and a Brownite loyalist, launched the opening salvo of that fightback yesterday in a highly personal attack on Mr Cameron. "Cameronomics is emerging, in which photo ops, warm words and conflicting promises attempt to distract from a risky and destructive ideological agenda," Ms Cooper said. "Cameron knows that his party are keen for some traditional Tory red meat, especially on tax cuts. Their policy positions also reveal ideological stances which would be bad for the British economy." Mr Osborne is promising to remove more children from poverty – one of New Labour's most celebrated aims – through tax incentives to married couples and an improved administrative arrangement of welfare. Other efforts include improving schools in poor areas and tackling 'welfare dependency'. "These Conservative methods of achieving progressive goals are likely to be far more successful and create a fairer society," he said.
Burnham slaps down Miliband backers
Andy Burnham sent a message to supporters of David Miliband last night, telling them to stop "jostling" for position.The culture secretary, speaking on BBC Radio 4's Westminster Hour programme, suggested he believed the "testing times" currently experienced by the government did not justify a leadership challenge to prime minister Gordon Brown. "I think it is important that we understand what happened in Glasgow East and respond in the way the public want us to – to come up with a policy programme which reflects the pressures people are facing here and now today," he said. Mr Burnham – closely associated with Mr Brown's predecessor in No 10, Tony Blair – distanced himself from those like health minister Ivan Lewis who have been proposing policy changes outside his portfolio. "It is testing times and in many ways an unprecedented period for the Labour party. It's in our own hands how we respond. The right way is not appearing to the rest of the country that we're just obsessed with our own positions and constantly jostling." Labour supporters hope the combination of a strong conference speech by Mr Brown and economic measures contained in chancellor Alistair Darling's Pre-Budget Report will help alleviate the party's poor fortunes in the polls. Mr Burnham said he hopes an offensive against the Conservatives' policies can be mounted, in which Labour can "actually begin to take the fight a bit more to the opposition". "I think they're getting far too easy a ride. I think they've got in many ways a threadbare policy agenda," he added.
PM among mourners for Glenrothes MP
Gordon Brown will be among those paying tribute today to Glenrothes MP John MacDougall, whose death last week will trigger a by-election later this year.The prime minister will put aside party politics to join with Scottish National party (SNP) leader at Westminster Angus Robertson and former Liberal Democrat leader Sir Menzies Campbell at the private funeral in Erskine Church, Burntisland. Cabinet ministers including international development secretary Douglas Alexander and defence secretary Des Browne are expected to attend. They will be joined by former Labour first minister in Scotland Henry McLeish, rumoured to be his party's candidate to replace Mr MacDougall. Most expect the SNP to easily overturn Labour's 29-point advantage on the 2005 election results, when Mr MacDougall took 52 per cent of the vote. They won the corresponding seat in last year's Holyrood elections. As a result Labour strategists are already resigned to yet another humiliating defeat for Britain's governing party, the Telegraph newspaper reports. It says they have already conceded defeat and are instead concentrating on how best to limit the damage of such a development to Mr Brown's struggling premiership. A quick by-election could push all the bad news stories for the prime minister out of the way in time for the autumn conferences. Alternatively Labour could delay calling the Glenrothes votes until as late as mid-November, giving maximum time for events to swing the political momentum back towards Labour. A source told the Telegraph: "We are not giving up in Glenrothes, but it is certainly realistic to view the seat as already lost to the SNP. "If we consider ourselves as effectively already in opposition, we can begin to fight back and you never know, we could even win."
Parties united on tough Russia stance
Britain's main political parties are lining up in their opposition to Russia's military actions in Georgia.Russian tanks have been sighted in the Georgian town of Gori, which lies outside the disputed province of South Ossetia, continuing Moscow's confrontational policy against the Georgian government. Foreign secretary David Miliband told BBC News after a meeting of European Union foreign ministers in Brussels on Wednesday that the EU would want to send a clear message to Russia. "I think it's very, very important that the message goes out that the decades when Europe was torn apart by the use of force are put behind us and it's unacceptable for the difficult issues on Russia's borders to be settled by force," he said. "And given that we've got in the European Union now Baltic states and others with recent, relatively recent experience in Central and Eastern Europe I think it's important we stand with them." The Liberal Democrats have called for Europe to stand together against "Russian aggression". Foreign affairs spokesman Edward Davey said the EU meeting, which opened the doors to a possible deployment of European peace monitors in the region, showed Europe "standing united against Russian aggression". "Strong European cooperation must be the way forward," Mr Davey continued. "We now need much firmer British leadership in response to this conflict, to back up the efforts of president [Nicolas] Sarkozy." The Conservatives continued their call for Russian forces to cease military actions in Georgia. Shadow foreign minister Mark Francois said: "We are deeply concerned by increasing reports that Russian forces are not abiding by the ceasefire and are moving into new areas of Georgia. "It is essential that all Russian forces should withdraw from territory outside of Abkhazia and South Ossetia - as President Medvedev gave a firm undertaking they would do - so that tensions can be reduced and negotiations can have a chance to proceed." US president George Bush stood outside the White House yesterday afternoon to make a strong statement against Russia military actions, explicitly putting the full weight of America's diplomatic strength behind the Georgians. Mr Bush said he supported the EU efforts to broker a peace deal and expressed his "solidarity with the Georgian people". He confirmed that he would be sending US secretary of state Condoleezza Rice first to France to talk with Mr Sarkozy, before heading to Tbilisi. Mr Bush said Ms Rice would aim to "rally the free world in support of a free Georgia". During his stern address, Mr Bush urged Russia to allow humanitarian and medical aid to enter into the troubled region and said he expected Russian troops to now withdraw. The US president also said Moscow's actions were placing relations with the EU and Washington at risk. Georgian officials claim that Russian tanks have entered the city of Gori, violating a truce agreement brokered by French president Nicolas Sarkozy. Earlier today, it was announced that Mr Sarkozy had helped Russia and Georgia agree to outline a plan to end the current crisis in South Ossetia. Russia even announced that its military activity in South Ossetia was finished and claimed troops had begun withdrawing. This afternoon, however, Georgia's security council chief Alexander Lomaia said that 50 Russian tanks had moved into Gori, a city located 15 miles from the border with South Ossetia. Reports cite eyewitnesses leaving the city as saying widespread looting is currently underway and residents are being held up at gunpoint. Georgian interior ministry spokesman Zurab Gvenetadze said that Russian forces had also seized a military base on the outskirts of Gori. In response, the Russian military claims to have shot down two Georgian spy drones above South Ossetia. US president George Bush said today that Russia must cease all military action immediately and honour its commitment to a ceasefire. Speaking outside the White House, Mr Bush said the US was concerned about the reports of Russian troops taking up positions outside Gori. Fierce clashes broke out in South Ossetia last week after Georgia launched a surprise assault into the breakaway region. In response, Moscow sent in hundreds of tanks and carried out a series of bombing raids on the region. Both sides have traded insults over the fighting with Mr Saakashvili describing Russia's actions as "cold-blooded murder", while Russian president Dmitry Medvedev accused Georgia of ethnic cleansing. Mr Sarkozy visited both leaders yesterday in an attempt to bring an end to the conflict.
Monday, August 18, 2008
Comment: Brown and Britain
Gordon Brown is contributing to another book, this time on Britain. Try not to get too excited. The last two books he wrote, Courage: Eight Portraits and Britain's Everyday Heroes, were just too boring to read. As a political journalist, you felt a sense of duty, hoping for an insight into the man who, back then, was going to become prime minister. I didn't make it very far. There was no bite to them, nothing to maintain your interest beyond the curiosity of seeing how many platitudes can be fitted into a single page.Mr Brown's next attempt may not be so inoffensive. This time he's gone back to his pet subject, Britain, and it's a subject he's only ever managed to address in disastrous terms. I'm thinking of three occasions in particular. Firstly, his call for Britons to fly the Union Jack in their back gardens, as Americans tend to do with the Stars and Stripes. It was a fascinating thing to suggest, because in one foul swoop he managed to encourage a celebration of the national character through an activity which is completely alien to that national character. He might as well have asked us to dress up as Frenchmen. If there's something to celebrate about being British, and I believe there probably is, it has to do with the fact we don't require such banal and crass displays of loyalty from the people of this country. His second moment, considerably more horrific this time, was the call for "British jobs for British workers". The very idea such a phrase would be followed by a standing ovation at the Labour party conference is enough to drive any traditional Labour supporter into a catatonic state of alcoholism and despair. It was an out and out appeal to those voters who aren't members of the BNP – they will never vote Labour – but who are toying with the idea. Quite what it means is beyond me. British jobs where? Just here, or will BP have to hire only Britons in its Saudi offices as well? Are American businessmen to be barred from being sent to work in the UK for a couple of years by their companies? The third phase of Mr Brown's focus on Britishness is his endlessly irritating reference to these British values of his. There is undoubtedly such a thing as a national character, and in Britain that character is more fascinating and intangible than in most countries I've visited. But to talk about British values opens up a strange little door. A basic philosophical point: You can't define something using terms applicable to something else. For instance, you can't define foxes by the fact they have teeth. Any attempt to pin down British values will find you staring at something happily evoked by other countries. What will we choose? Hard work? Neighbourliness? Freedom? Does anyone really believe other countries don't have these values as well? Would any country cite laziness, hostility and slavery as its values? There are a great many of us, on the left and the right, who are intensely proud of this country and would welcome an improvement in the way Britons think about themselves. But Mr Brown has shown a consistent inability to notice that which is best about living here, and a desire for a stale, aesthetic - even fascistic - view of patriotism which has no place in Britain. The American model, which Mr Brown seems to admire, is intensely un-British. American patriotism involves the flying of the flag outside the home, schoolchildren pledging their allegiance every morning, the constant use of that pernicious phrase 'anti-American'. If there's something to be patriotic about as a Brit, it's the absence of these curiosities, it's the commitment to privacy, to doing whatever you want in your own home but keeping it out of our collective faces. Perhaps it's a coincidence the most dangerous moment for the Union has come at the same time as the UK has a Scottish prime minister, or perhaps it isn't. But Mr Brown is nevertheless failing to address the deep period of self-doubt and confusion this country is suffering from. He's made it patently obvious he has no working analysis of why it is happening. As to fixing it, his previous comments on the subject indicate he will only be able to make it worse. I await his new thoughts with a mixture of tedium and disdain. Ian Dunt
Analysis: Glenrothes by-election
Only the cruellest of commentators would presume Gordon Brown's thoughts are on the possibility of another by-election rather than the death of the man which triggered it.Mr Brown was good enough friends with John MacDougall to be visiting him in hospital the day before he died, and having known each other for over 30 years there's no doubt the prime minister was speaking genuinely when he sent his condolences to Mr MacDougall's family. But however Mr Brown feels, somewhere in the Labour party advisors are sat down trying to figure out how they will survive a Glenrothes by-election. It could barely be worse. Glenrothes is exactly the kind of by-election Labour know they can lose, following last months dreadful Glasgow East result. The majority there was 13,500. In Glenrothes it is 10,664. A further by-election drubbing anywhere could be enough to finally end Mr Brown's attempts to remain leader of the party, but Glenrothes is especially significant because, in a massive stroke of bad luck, it borders Mr Brown's own constituency, Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath. The sheer overwhelming symbolism of a neighbouring constituency falling to the SNP would be the cherry on a cake which has included a Tory victory in Crewe and Nantwich, total humiliation in Henley and an unprecedented SNP victory in Glasgow East. It's would probably make Mr Brown's position impossible. One significant difference, however, is the manner in which the by-election was triggered. Mr MacDougall was a well-respected MP, with close ties to the unions. Constituents may vote Labour out of loyalty to his memory. If that sounds slightly idealistic, it's worth remembering the slim margin of the SNP's victory in Glasgow East – just 365 votes. With that kind of margin, small incomputable factors can make a difference. For the time being, Labour strategists will be concentrating on timing. There is no legislation covering when by-elections have to be held once an MP quits or dies, so on paper Glenrothes could remain without an MP until parliament is next dissolved. In reality, convention says it should never be longer than three month. Recent campaigns have been considerably quicker than that. Strategists will be concentrating on whether to hold the vote before or after the Labour party conference on September 20th. That's where Mr Brown plans to stage his comeback, starting with what needs to be the speech of his life. If Labour is nervous about whether Mr Brown will be able to deliver that performance, they will probably schedule the vote for before the conference and get all the horror out the way. After all, a loss immediately after his conference speech would unquestionably be the end of him. If there's more faith in his ability to turn things around, they will probably try to stage it after the conference - possibly immediately afterwards to make the most of positive coverage. Look to the vote date for a good idea of how confident Labour is about this by-election, and about its leader's chances come the new political year. Ian Dunt
Scottish Labour close to naming leader
Scottish Labour has gone a step closer to naming a new leader with nominations closing yesterday.Former enterprise minister Iain Gray appeared the clear frontrunner to replace Wendy Alexander, having secured the support of more unions, elected members and constituency parties than his rivals. But former health minister Andy Kerr remains the bookies favourite, with Ladbrokes keeping him as 5/4 favourite. Mr Gray is on 6/4, while Cathy Jamieson, acting leader, has odds of 11/4. Mr Gray managed to wrestle support for several major unions from Ms Jamieson, including Unite and the GMB. "I'm very happy with the support I've received so far," he said. "It's been particularly pleasing to gather nominations from across all parts of the country and across all sections of the party. "However, it's obviously a very tight race and, in the end, it will be votes and not nominations that win this election." Mr Kerr failed to gain any union's support – other than an affiliate in the Scottish Labour students – but backing from 13 MSPs and MPs and the same number of constituency parties kept him firmly in the race. Mr Kerr is campaigning for Scotland's first minister to have more autonomy from Westminster. Labour party figures are said to be waiting for Scottish Labour to have selected a leader before holding a by-election in Glenrothes, the constituency whose MP died on Tuesday.
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